Zambia is on track to surpass 1 million tonnes of copper production in 2026, marking a historic milestone for the country’s mining sector. The projected growth is being driven by increased output from major Canadian-owned mining operations.
Minister of Mines and Minerals Development Paul Kabuswe confirmed that production will exceed the one-million-tonne mark, following a record output of approximately 890,346 tonnes recorded in 2025.
Copper Remains Central to the Economy
Copper continues to be the backbone of Zambia’s economy, contributing around 70% of export earnings and playing a vital role in GDP.
The sector has also benefited from strong global market conditions. In 2025, copper prices surged significantly, exceeding $13,000 per tonne, boosting revenues for leading producers, including Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Canadian-Owned Mines Driving Growth
A major share of the production increase is coming from expansions at key mining operations.
At the Kansanshi mine, operated by First Quantum Minerals in partnership with ZCCM-IH, a $1.25 billion expansion has improved processing capacity and stabilized output.
Meanwhile, the Lumwana mine, owned by Barrick Gold, is undergoing a large-scale expansion expected to significantly increase annual production as new facilities come online.
These investments are enhancing throughput and efficiency across Zambia’s Copperbelt and North-Western Province.
Long-Term Ambitions for the Sector
Beyond the 2026 milestone, Zambia has set even more ambitious targets.
Through its National Three Million Tonnes Copper Production Strategy, the government aims to triple output to 3 million tonnes per year by the early 2030s. This will be achieved through:
Expansions at existing mines
Development of new projects
Growth in artisanal and small-scale mining
Strengthening Global Position
Surpassing 1 million tonnes will further cement Zambia’s role as a key global copper supplier, especially as demand rises for metals used in electrification and renewable energy technologies.
The anticipated growth is expected to:
Boost foreign exchange earnings
Support job creation
Strengthen investor confidence
Outlook
With strong commodity prices, ongoing investment, and clear policy direction, Zambia is entering a new phase of growth in its mining sector. The expected production milestone in 2026 signals not only recovery but a broader expansion that could reshape the country’s economic future.
